The EXTEND Alteplase Meta-Analysis

Did you miss the publication of EXTEND a couple weeks ago – a publication I helpfully labeled as “shenanigans“? Well, these same authors have wasted little time performing a systematic review and meta-analysis of individual patient data in the 4.5-9 hour timeframe. Their search, specifically limited to hemispheric stroke and pretreatment perfusion/diffusion evaluation, identifies: EXTEND, ECASS4-EXTEND, and EPITHET.

EXTEND we’ve already heard from – and, since most of the patients for this IPD meta-analysis come from EXTEND, it should be no surprise the overall results effectively mirror EXTEND. EPITHET, of which you may have some faint familiarity, has been pulled from the dusty archives of 2008. Then, there’s ECASS4-EXTEND, of which you probably hadn’t heard, since it was published with zero fanfare about a month ago.

So, what is ECASS4-EXTEND? These were again 4.5-9h patients screened with MRI and enrolled between 2014 and 2017, with early termination recommended by the Data Safety Monitoring Board when enrollment slowed to a trickle following publication of the endovascular trials. Before discontinuation, these authors enrolled 120 and analyzed 116, 60 receiving tPA and 56 placebo. Most of them were “wake up” strokes, and the “time-to-treatment” variable is again facetiously estimated by taking the midpoint between sleep onset and time of waking. There are small increases in patients with reduced disability in the tPA arm, but these unsurprisingly do not reach statistical significance. Likewise, deaths within 90 days are double – 11.5% versus 6.8% – another technically non-significant result. The authors, naturally, focus on the promise of the treatment if a sufficient sample were recruited, rather than the potential threat to patient safety.

And then there’s this all-too-familiar editorial failure:

Declaration of conflicting interests
The author(s) declared no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.

Funding
The author(s) received no financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article.

…in direct contradiction to the third author having this affiliation:

Medical Affairs, Boehringer Ingelheim Pharma GmbH & Co KG, Ingelheim, Germany

And this little snippet in the body of the article:

Role of the funding source
… The trial was supported with a restricted grant from Boehringer Ingelheim (Germany), the funder. The funder approved the study design…. Two employees of the funder were members of the steering committee and thus involved in data interpretation and preparation of the publication.

Finally, amusingly enough, ECASS4-EXTEND doesn’t technically meet criteria for their inclusion in the systematic review and IPD meta-analysis – they report they searched for trials “published in English between Jan 1, 2006, and March 1, 2019”, while ECASS4-EXTEND was published on April 4th.

Nitpicking aside, despite the relative frequency and prominence of these publications, this is mostly much ado about nothing – it should be obvious from the early termination of ECASS4-EXTEND these data primarily reflect a cohort we’re sending to endovascular therapy. Therefore, what we really need for these data to be relevant is a confirmatory trial performed specifically in the resource-austere settings thrombectomy might not be available.

“Extending thrombolysis to 4·5–9 h and wake-up stroke using perfusion imaging: a systematic review and meta-analysis of individual patient data”
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(19)31053-0/fulltext

“Extending the time window for intravenous thrombolysis in acute ischemic stroke using magnetic resonance imaging-based patient selection”
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30947642