The Clinical Impact of SAH Decision Rules

The Ottawa Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Rule has been around a long time now, dating back to 2013. The “six hour CT” rule has been around even longer, dating back even to 2011. They’ve become entwined in at least the discussion around the evaluation of SAH, if not clinical practice.

… but are they actually useful?

This is the “before and after” study from Perry and Stiell (not to be confused with Penn and Teller), in which the practice of Canadian physicians was examined around the time these rules were under development and in publication. These authors gathered data on patients presenting with atraumatic headache spanning the time period between 2011 and 2016, looking at resource utilization and missed SAH before and after adoption of both the Ottawa SAH Rule and the 6-hour CT Rule. Specifically, practicing clinicians were instructed not to use decision rules for the basis of patient care until June 2013, at which point clinicians were actively encouraged to do so.

The basic findings:

  • The Ottawa SAH Rule doesn’t change much.
  • The 6-hour CT Rule probably reduces downstream lumbar puncture/CTA.

Again, with concern for generalizability, a full 5.1% of their qualifying atraumatic headaches were diagnosed with SAH across the study period. The rate of investigation of these patients remained high, about 88%, regardless of study period – and regardless whether the Ottawa Rule criteria were met. However, for patients presenting within 6 hours of headache onset, the rate of subsequent LP dropped from 31.3% to 15.1%. The Ottawa SAH Rule showed its expected specificity of about 12%, and, therefore, was 100% sensitive. The 6-hour CT Rule “missed” 5 of 111 patients, however, for various reasons – one radiology misread, a false-positive owing to profound anemia, a non-aneurysmal SAH from dural vein fistula, and two cases of false-positive LPs meeting their study criteria for false-negative CT.

A long story made short, 1) keep using the 6-hour CT rule with the caveat of known potential confounders to visible blood (anemia); 2) the Ottawa Rule is only clinical useful as a one-way decision instrument owing to its poor positive likelihood ratio.

“Prospective Implementation of the Ottawa Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Rule and 6-Hour Computed Tomography Rule”

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31805846