The Grim Outcomes Brigade

This study aims to answer the critically important question we want to answer for every single patient – if we send them home, will they come back dead?

This is a retrospective medical record review of Kaiser health plan patients presenting to Kaiser Permanente hospitals in California who were discharged from the Emergency Department – and then died within 7 days.  They excluded hospice, DNR, and DNI patients from this analysis, and identified 446,120 discharges over the course of two years resulting in 203 deaths (0.05%).  These authors performed a qualitative chart review of 61 patients evaluating for common features.

A few highlights from their common themes:

  • Unexplained persistent acute mental status change – probably a difficult discharge to justify.
  • Documentation of “ill-appearing” or “moderate distress” – certainly some folks improve, but not the 89 year-old reviewed by these authors.
  • Abnormal vital signs – the classic cautionary tale, which ought to have been easier in a hypoxic 69 year-old.
  • Misdiagnoses due to inadequate differential diagnosis – the other classic, unavoidable, human error.
  • Admission plan changed – a potentially risky play to discharge when another physician feels a patient warrants admission.

This is simply a basic descriptive study.  The elements described herein should not be implied to be specific causal factors, but hypothesis generating for future work.  It is, however, a fascinating topic and part of the ultimate question at the root of nearly all our patient encounters.

“Qualitative Factors in Patients Who Die Shortly After Emergency Department Discharge”

http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/24033620