“Rapid Exclusion of Acute Myocardial Infarction in Patients With Undetectable Troponin Using a High-Sensitivity Assay”
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21920261
Category: Cardiology
600mg Is Probably Your Best Clopidogrel Loading Dose
Not Long, But Short QT
Another rare channelopathy that I was not previously aware of, but that carries the same risks of sudden death as long-QT syndromes.
This is a longitudinal observational study of the European Short QT Registry – which has a grand total of 53 patients – who were followed for, on average, 5 years. The diagnosis of short QT does not have a generally accepted definition, but typically means a QTc less than 340 or 360, and the other literature shows a high association with sudden death and QTc less than 340. In their registry 23% had a HERG gain-of-function mutation identified, and there is also an autosomal dominant inheritance pattern identified.
Based on their follow-up for events, or for cardiac events recorded by implantable defibrillators, there was a 4.9% incidence of syncope, defibrillator shocks, or nonsustained polymorphic ventricular tachycardia. Prophylactic treatment involves either the implantable defibrillator or daily hydroquinidine therapy to prolong QT.
Something new to look for on EKGs that you’ll probably never see, but will seem really smart if you do.
“Long-term follow-up of patients with short QT syndrome”
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21798421
Blocking Frizzled Proteins Reduces Infarct Size
This is another window-to-the-future article that caught my eye because, really, I just wanted to see what a Frizzled signal was.
And, it turns out, it’s mildly interesting.
My area of expertise is not cell signaling and infarct-related myocardial fibroblast migration/inhibition, so the first few pages of cell plating and luciferase expression measurement are not my cup of tea. However, eventually, the authors get around to injecting UM206 into a mouse MI model and find significant reductions in infarct size, increased myofibroblasts, and, more importantly, increased ejection fraction/decreased mortality from heart failure.
Give it another five years, and maybe we’ll be giving our ACS patients aspirin, clopidogrel, and a Frizzled-antagonist.
“Blocking of Frizzled Signaling With a Homologous Peptide Fragment of Wnt3a/Wnt5a Reduces Infarct Expansion and Prevents the Development of Heart Failure After Myocardial Infarction.”
circ.ahajournals.org/content/…/CIRCULATIONAHA.110.976969.abstract
ACI-TIPI For Predicting Cardiac Outcomes
In an earlier post, I noted an article that had done a systematic review finding 115 publications attempting to create or validate clinical prediction rules for chest pain. Well, here’s number 116.
The ACI-TIPI (Acute Cardiac Ischemia Time-Insensitive Predictive Instrument) is computerized analysis software that generates a score regarding the likelihood of cardiac ischemia based on age, gender, chest pain and EKG variables. It’s actually a product marketed and sold by Philips. These authors tried to evaluate how predictive this instrument was for predicting 30-day events, with an interest in identifying a group that could be safely discharged from the Emergency Department.
In an institution with 55,000 visits a year, the authors recruited only 144 chest pain patients – which is the first red flag. It doesn’t matter how good your prediction rule is if you only recruit 144 patients – your confidence intervals will be terrible, and their sensitivities for identifying 30 day cardiac outcomes are 82-100% at best. And, yes, they did say if the ACI-TIPI score is <20, it had a purportedly useful negative predictive value.
So, I suppose this paper doesn’t really tell us much – and even if the data were better, I’m not sure the sensitivity/specificity of this ACI-TIPI calculation would meet a useful clinical threshold to reduce low-risk hospitalizations any better than clinical gestalt. I’ll be back with you when I find risk-stratification attempt 117….
“Prognostic utility of the acute cardiac ischemia time-insensitive predictive instrument (ACI-TIPI)”
www.intjem.com/content/4/1/49
CT Coronary Angiography Proves People WIth CAD Die Sooner
This is a neat study that followed up 23,854 patients from a multicenter CTCA registry – the CONFIRM registry – over three years to evaluate their long term prognostic risk. And – amazingly enough – the patients who had no coronary artery disease identified on their CTCA had an annualized rate of 0.28% of death from all causes. Which seems pretty impressive, and it’s better than the people who had non-obstructive and various types of obstructive CAD on their CTCA.
But then, the hazard ratios for patients who had 3-vessel and left main disease on their CTCA was still only as high as six times more likely than the no CAD cohort – which is a lot higher in relative terms, but still not very high in absolute terms – and there were a lot of other comorbidities in these patients that would contribute to their all-cause mortality from non-cardiac causes. So, yes, not having CAD – as well as being a generally healthy person – helps you live longer.
The question still remains where CTCA fits into an Emergency Department evaluation for chest pain. We are seeing more and more research now that primary PCI for asymptomatic lesions isn’t any survival benefit over medical management – so identifying these lesions and admitting these patients to cardiology for intervention isn’t going to be in our future. Considering over 55% of their cohort had either non-obstructive or obstructive disease found, now you’re going to be on the hook for making outpatient CAD risk-modification decisions after cardiology declines them.
Whether CTCA is used should be a standardized, institution-wide decision, because I don’t think anyone wants to take the weight of sorting through all this evidence and risk/benefit ratios as a lone wolf.
“Age- and Sex-Related Differences in All-Cause Mortality Risk Based on Coronary Computer Tomography Angiography Findings”
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21835321
We Still Can’t Predict Cardiac Outcomes in Syncope
The authors of this article claim that the San Francisco Syncope Rule – which we’ve already put out to pasture – has simple EKG criteria that “can help predict which patients are at risk of cardiac outcomes”.
And, they’re only possibly partly right. Out of the 644 patients in their cohort they followed for syncope, they had 42 cardiac events within their 7-day follow-up period. Of those 42, 36 met the criteria for “abnormal EKG”. If you had a completely normal EKG, it was 6 out 428 that had a cardiac event, which gave them a 99% NPV upon which they base the quoted statement above.
But the positive criteria wasn’t adequately predictive enough to be helpful in making hospitalization decisions – 216 patients had abnormal EKGs, but only 36 had a cardiac outcome. And then, there are significant differences in the patients who had abnormal EKGs, and even more differences with the patients who had cardiac outcomes – the cardiac outcome cohort had an average age of 78.6 compared to the noncardiac outcome cohort average age of 61.0, with probably even more comorbid differences they don’t tell us about.
So, a normal EKG is probably helpful in making your decision – but being younger and healthier probably accounts for more of the differences between their groups.
“Electrocardiogram Findings in Emergency Department Patients with Syncope”
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21762234
CTCA Studies Are Not Externally Valid
This is a multicenter study from Canada that looked at the diagnostic accuracy of computed tomographic coronary angiography using invasive coronary angiography as the gold standard – and they found that it’s not bad. Specifically, they found it was not bad at one of their four centers used in the study, and terrible at three of the four centers used in the study. In a patient population with a pretest probability of CAD less than 50%, the AUC for CTCA was 0.951 at center 1, and 0.597 at centers 2, 3, and 4 combined.
So, clearly, the most important factor affecting the results of your CTCA is your institution’s skill at performing and interpreting the test. Which, if you take it one step further, means that unless your institution is a CTCA center of excellence like the ones pumping out the CTCA studies, you can’t apply their results to your practice. Specificity stays reasonable, but you lose a lot of sensitivity – and when the CTCA for low-risk rapid rule-out is predicated on the high NPV, you can’t afford to lose sensitivity.
“Ontario Multidetector Computed Tomographic Coronary Angiography Study”
www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21403014
If You Don’t Reperfuse STEMI, That’s Bad
I’m not sure why this is earthshaking news – other than some good statisticians had access to some good data. Of course, that’s pretty much what research is about – have data, will travel.
This JAMA article looks at door-in-door-out time for STEMI at transferring hospitals – and they suggest an association between between quicker transfer times and unadjusted mortality. There is still some debate regarding how much time to primary PCI matters, but, if you say this in-and-out time is a surrogate marker for time to primary PCI, you could presumably support the hypothesis of rapid PCI mattering.
There are a few interesting nuggets of information in the article – particularly looking at patients for whom the transfer time was exceptionally prolonged. Essentially, left bundle and patients with ambiguous or non-obvious STEMI were delayed. I.e., when the diagnosis is hard, it’s hard to make the diagnosis.
As usual, time matters to the individual, but system factors affect many patients. Mortality for STEMI is improved by faster transport, but you still need to consider the consequences of faster transport. Reckless abandon towards shoving a semi-stable patient out the door won’t always lead to better outcomes, but, then again, I have worked in some of those hospitals….
“Association of Door-In to Door-Out Time With Reperfusion Delays and Outcomes Among Patients Transferred for Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention.”
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21693742
CCTA Only Predicts Revascularizations
This is an interesting systematic review of coronary computer tomography angiography that, I think, shows mostly that the endpoints for cardiology studies need to be re-evaluated. The conclusion that circulates in the new has been that positive CCTA was highly predictive of coronary events – patients with >1 segment of >50% stenosis on CCTA had an 11.9% annualized rate of coronary “events” when compared to the 1.1% annualized rate of patients without any >50% stenosis. This generates the 10.74 hazard ratio that has been circulating through the press releases trumpeting the predictive value of CCTA.
Unfortunately, this predictive value is a self-fulfilling prophecy because 62% of their “events” were revascularizations. If you subtract out the portion that went for revascularization, the remaining all-cause mortality, cardiovascular death, nonfatal MI, UA requiring hospitalization, that’s 5% annualized rate. Still higher than folks without any coronary stenoses at all, but you have to wonder – could we have predicted the population with a 5% cardiovascular morbidity risk without a CCTA? Does the management decision to perform revascularization confer upon this population a cardiovascular morbidity/mortality benefit? We are seeing a lot more in the literature showing that medical management is as advantageous as stenting, so, again, I’m not sure what the role of CCTA is – particularly from the Emergency Department.
“Meta-analysis and systematic review of the long-term predictive value of assessment of coronary atherosclerosis by contrast-enhanced coronary computed tomography angiography.”
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21658564