Add Clopidogrel to Aspirin, Temporarily

In the Emergency Department, we’re not necessarily spending a lot of our time sending home patients with minor stroke or high-risk transient ischemic attack – or, even if we are, we’re usually not doing it independently. That said, our scope of practice always seems to be expanding, observation units are frequently run by emergency physicians, and hospitals are looking to take advantage of opportunities to discharge patients rather than admit.

Regardless, this is a meta-analysis supporting the findings of CHANCE, looking specifically at the short-term use of aspirin and clopidogrel after a minor stroke or high-risk TIA. CHANCE enrolled 5,170 patients, while this meta-analysis effectively combines these with POINT, while also tossing in the patients from FASTER.

The main takeaway here is the combination of the evidence from the long-term treatment observing it was effectively a wash between stroke prevention and bleeding complications, and the observation that stroke risk was highest immediately following the index event. A reasonable interpretation, as highlighted by the guidelines, is to use dual-antiplatelet therapy short-term after the index event. The evidence does not specifically describe the optimal duration, but anywhere between 10 and 21 days seems reasonable.

Just wanted to toss this one out there with a little more prominence, as this isn’t particularly new, but I also wouldn’t want it to be overlooked.

“Clopidogrel plus aspirin versus aspirin alone for acute minor ischaemic stroke or high risk transient ischaemic attack: systematic review and meta-analysis”
https://www.bmj.com/content/363/bmj.k5108

“Guideline: Starting dual antiplatelet therapy ≤ 24 h after high-risk TIA or minor ischemic stroke is recommended.”
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30986828

Lacunar Infarcts & Thrombolysis

For some period of time, folks have debated the utility of thrombolysis in lacunar infarcts. The underlying concern is with regard to their underlying suspected pathology relating to non-thrombotic occlusion of small perforating arteries, in contrast to the process seen in small- or large-vessel stroke. This little subgroup analysis of WAKE-UP – the MRI-driven tissue-based trial of alteplase for ischemic stroke – tries to shed further light on this specific concern.

Of the 503 patients included in WAKE-UP (out of 1,362 patients screened), 108 had imaging-defined lacunar infarcts. The median NIHSS of these patients was 4 to 5, and about half were randomized to alteplase and half to placebo. Overall, this subgroup – underpowered for any definitive conclusion – demonstrated similar outcomes as those whose stroke subtype was not lacunar.

The issue is not so much the finding observed here, but the effort in the Discussion and accompanying editorial to generalize WAKE-UP to all strokes. There is only a loose association between DWI and FLAIR findings and predicting time of stroke onset in their cited reference. A little fewer than 2/3rds of strokes of ≤4.5h age seem to have positive DWI and negative FLAIR, and this study enrolled only a tiny fraction of patients with potential lacunar infarcts.

Long story short, a treatment effect observed in this tissue-based enrollment cohort cannot reliably predict treatment response for lacunar strokes screened and treated based on routine non-contrast imaging. Most patients screened for WAKE-UP were excluded based on not meeting imaging criteria, potentially around half of whom were otherwise within 4.5 hour stroke onset (based on their citation above). Thrombolysis does benefit the patients in WAKE-UP, overall, but this almost certainly represents the ceiling for a positive effect size – and in routine practice, effectiveness is likely much lower.

Related aside: when we start routinely screening strokes with MRI in that happy future time, do we exclude DWI+/FLAIR+ from thrombolysis, even if within the “treatment window”? I would think so.

“Functional Outcome of Intravenous Thrombolysis in Patients With Lacunar Infarcts in the WAKE-UP Trial”
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamaneurology/fullarticle/2729091

Emergencies in Medicine

Just a quick note to follow-up this splendid little conference in Park City, UT, where I featured in a debate regarding the utility of tPA for stroke. We had a generally respectful discussion about the state of stroke care and our vision for the future.

Unfortunately, it – as you might expect – looks a lot like a future where tPA flows like water.

The overall gist of the presentation by Chris Lewandowski, one of the original NINDS investigators: pool the trial data, and the benefit is clear. My gripes, well-chronicled on this site: benefit is not uniformly distributed, we should tailor its use, rather than expand it.

Interesting tidbits from the follow-up discussion:

  • No one is going to re-do NINDS in this country. They couldn’t even complete PRISMS because too many mild, non-disabling strokes were already being treated.
  • Treating vast numbers of stroke mimics is not troublesome to them – Lewandowski claims to have never heard of one ever having a bleed.
  • The expected benefit to mobile stroke units relates to “fresh” clot being more likely to lyse, as much as the brief time savings.
  • Studies like TIMELESS and other tissue-based thrombolytic studies will likely extend the treatment window, just like WAKE-UP.
  • No qualms about treating NIHSS scores of 1 causing only mild disability (say, unilateral leg weakness). They’ve seen that some NIHSS 1 deteriorate, and believe tPA will prevent it.
  • They are utterly comfortable with forever using NINDS as their default NNT/NNH consent – and no problem using the same numbers now matter what the NIHSS. Except, they just reduce their risk number for harm, as ICH is generally related to infarct size/NIHSS. This drives me mad.
  • They feel strongly tPA has been proven “cost-effective”, while I would note those analyses are based on assumptions and models not matching current practice and treatment population.
  • Treating cervical artery dissection with tPA is favored to them because they expect the clot that showers distally will benefit from lysis, though they agree there is no evidence to support their claims.
  • They agreed that, overall, the recommendations issued by the AHA overstate the strength of the evidence.

Would be fun to do again – even if it is effectively just shouting into the wind!

Who Recanalizes with Just tPA?

The original argument: tPA helps all strokes, we must give it to everyone as quickly as possible!
The updated argument: tPA doesn’t not help all strokes, so it should still be given!

Specifically, as applies to the cohort of patients with large vessel occlusions being considered for mechanical thrombectomy. This small, pooled registry sample looked at cases from four centers, evaluating the rate and predictive characteristics for recanalization prior to cerebral angiography. The stated purpose of their study was to develop a predictive score, with the reasonable goal of reducing unnecessary tPA exposures prior to thrombectomy.

The numbers, in their score derivation and validation cohorts:

  • ICA: 6.4%/1.0%
  • M1 proximal: 16.1%/13.7%
  • M1 distal: 30.3%/30.7%
  • M2: 33.7%/34.0%

But, an even more powerful a predictor was thrombus length, as measured by T2 MRI susceptibility vessel sign. Recanalization was seen at over 80% for clots <5mm, 30% for 6-10mm, and below 10% for clots longer than 10mm, with particular futility for >20mm.

Interesting data – and a nice look at how not all sites of occlusion and clots are created equal. Whether, and how, we ought to treat them differently remains uncertain until the results of a prospective trial.

“Post-Thrombolysis Recanalization in Stroke Referrals for Thrombectomy”
https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/pdf/10.1161/STROKEAHA.118.022335

To Lyse Before Endovascular Intervention … or Not

I’ve been of the general opinion that, no, thrombolytics are of low utility prior to endovascular intervention for stroke. The typical candidate for endovascular intervention has a clot in a large vessel. Thrombolytics are overwhelmingly ineffective at treating such lesions, hence, the entire foundational need for endovascular intervention. Then, absent indication creep, the patients for whom endovascular intervention is intended are those with salvageable tissue as resulting from excellent collateral circulation – i.e., the sort of patients for whom the “time is brain” mantra does not strictly apply. Therefore, thrombolytics prior to the definitive procedure are effectively low-value, and deplete the fibrinogen likely needed to reduce serious procedural adverse events.

But, this is just opinion – useful evidence is profoundly lacking.

This article, unfortunately, does not add much to the current body of evidence. These authors present a post-hoc analysis from the ASTER trial, which tested clot aspiration versus stent retrieval. As is typical for these types of trials, those who arrived within 4.5 hours of symptom onset were treated with thrombolytics prior to their procedure, while others were excluded as “outside the window”. There were 381 patients here, 250 of whom were eligible for thrombolytic therapy. These authors pull out all the stops with regard to data analysis, breaking down their outcomes by procedural attempts, reperfusion, complications, clinical outcomes, and hemorrhagic complications. Then, they further generate forest plots for adjusted outcomes depending on the arm of the trial – aspiration or stent retriever.

And, after all this, it’s still just a retrospective data dredge for meaningless signals replete with unmeasured confounders and selection bias. The patients who received thrombolysis initially are different than those who did not, full stop – and no multivariate regression can reliably produce precise estimates of their likely outcomes. I could have told you “we need a prospective trial design” to shed further light on this question, arriving at the same conclusion in six words, rather than in these seven pages.

“Mechanical Thrombectomy Outcomes With or Without Intravenous Thrombolysis Insight From the ASTER Randomized Trial”
https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/STROKEAHA.118.021500

Tenecteplase vs. Alteplase For … Stroke Mimics?

Bless their little hearts.

It’s almost as though this is a submission fo the IgNobel Prize, rather than a serious scientific manuscript. “How well does a medicine work when the patient doesn’t have the disease?” is basically a joke, right?

Not in the magical world of stroke neurology, replete with its array of meretricious interventions.

This is a secondary analysis of NOR-TEST, a phase III trial comparing alteplase with tenecteplase. A few folks believe tenecteplase has superior fibrinolysis to alteplase, and therefore ought to be potentially favored in acute ischemic stroke. NOR-TEST, for what it’s worth, could not detect any statistically significant difference between the two.

What is notable in this trial, of course, is the 17% rate of stroke mimics. And, this is a Very Important publication comparing the safety of these two medications when given to patients inappropriately. And, of course, there is no difference. There were three cases of intracerebral hemorrhage and three cases of extracranial bleeding, none of whom – you know – died, but were clearly all unnecessary iatrogenic injury.

Some more interesting notes, at least, from their analysis of stroke mimics. The average NIHSS in this entire study was 4, with the IQR for mimics 2-6 and for acute ischemia 2-8. There’s no useful evidence to suggest thrombolysis is superior to placebo in this sort of mild stroke cohort, but, here we are. Absent this evidence, some neurologists make an argument based on the Get With the Guidelines-Stroke registry, observing many patients with mild stroke are ultimately unable to be discharged to home due to persistent disability. In the NOR-TEST cohort of mimics, however, only 79% were assessed to have mRS 0-1 at 3 months, while their treated stroke cohort achieved mRS 0-1 only 60% of the time.  It would seem the base rate of mimic- or mild-stroke disability is effectively as observed in the GWTG-Stroke registry, regardless of treatment.

In sum, these authors have basically provided us with an unwitting glimpse into how acute stroke treatment has gone utterly off the rails in Norway.  Now, I wonder if they’re related to the group trying to push tPA in less than 20 minutes ….

“Safety and predictors of stroke mimics in The Norwegian Tenecteplase Stroke Trial (NOR-TEST)”

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30019629

tPA in Under 20 Minutes is Recklessness

In my book, “safe” translates to a lack of attributable harm. Therefore, going as fast as possible while still claiming safety – should mean no excess harms resulting from the rush.

There’s no way to precisely tell whether or not this is the case here in Helsinki, where the stroke neurologists have cut their door-to-needle time for thrombolysis to under 20 minutes. The results as described here, however, are not promising, and the authors agree with my impression:

“Our findings support the safety of highly optimized door-to-needle times.”

Ha ha! Of course they don’t.

This is a retrospective review of 1,015 stroke code patients arriving over a two-year period between 2013 and 2015. This institution, incorporating elements of pre-hospital assessment into their initial evaluation, have had door-to-needle times below 20 minutes since 2011. How do they perform?

Of the 1,015, there were 150 (14.8%) patients with misdiagnosis on the initial assessment. Of these, 90 were ultimately diagnosed with a stroke mimic, 59 were eventually diagnosed with a stroke or TIA, and one small basal ganglia hemorrhage was missed. These initial misdiagnoses led, as you might imagine, to both unnecessary treatment and delays to the correct treatment. The most profound effects of these delays were in the context of stroke mimics, whose median delay until a correct diagnosis was 39 hours. Thirteen stroke mimics received thrombolysis, and diagnostic inertia from the initial misdiagnosis led 13 more to have median delays of up to 56 hours for the initiation of condition-specific treatment.

Now, there are limitations here that likely tilt these statistics in favor of the institution. There is no described standard follow-up evaluation to confirm cerebral ischemia, and likely some of those with TIA (146 patients) or who received tPA (331 patients) and improved could further be lumped in with the stroke mimics based on their clinical evaluation and whether they ever underwent MRI. Conversely, even though these authors are speeding headlong in order to give tPA, we can’t actually attribute all these misdiagnoses to their rushed evaluation. It is likely some of these cases would remain clinically challenging, even with a few extra minutes of careful consideration.

However, if they are trying to prove their implementation is safe, this comparison group is exactly what is necessary. They’ve shown their protocol is results in a substantial number of misdiagnosis and documented patient harms; the onus is on this team to prove their pursuit of a handful fewer minutes to tPA is not a contributing factor.  Finally, any possible advantage to shaving a handful of minutes off door-to0-needle times pales in comparison to these obvious misses.

“Diagnosing cerebral ischemia with door-to-thrombolysis times below 20 minutes”
http://n.neurology.org/content/early/2018/07/11/WNL.0000000000005954

Stopping the Alteplase Indication Creep

Ever since the narrow approval and strict inclusion criteria of the first trials for alteplase in stroke, our benevolent corporate overlords have been doing their utmost to expand its indications – all while continuing to unilaterally boost its price. This includes sponsoring “expert” convocations to whittle down contraindications, as well as sponsoring, and then cancelling, trials destined to futility.

This is another example of the latter.

This is the remnants of PRISMS, a trial testing the alteplase versus aspirin in a randomized, placebo-controlled trial of mild stroke. In this trial, “mild stroke” included a NIHSS of ≤5 and the absence of any disabling deficits. That is to say, rather, every patient entered in this trial met, in theory, the primary outcome of an mRS of 0-1 at entry. The trial expected to find an advantage to treatment of 9% and incidence of sICH of 2%, a NNT of 11, NNH of 50, and a requirement of 948 patients for the statistical power to validate such findings.

The trial, however, was stopped after 313 patients due to “slow enrollment”. Of these, 32 were lost to follow-up, leaving 281 available for 90-day assessment without imputation. The bulk of patients ranged in NIHSS 1 to 3, with sensory symptoms, facial palsy, and dysarthria the most frequently represented stroke symptoms. Of those with 90-day follow-up, 83.1% of the aspirin arm achieved mRS 0-1, compared with 77.5% of those randomized to alteplase. Conversely, 3.4% of these mild strokes were ultimately mRS 4-6 – a typical definition of “poor outcome” – in the aspirin arm, compared with 10% of those randomized to alteplase. The 5 patients with sICH following alteplase administration contributed to these poor outcomes, compared with none following administration of aspirin.

So, very clearly, there is no evidence here to support a presumption of benefit from alteplase administration, but quite clearly evidence of harm. The authors – with hardly any conflict-of-interest to speak of – go to great lengths to assure us:

“The findings from the current trial cannot be extrapolated to all patients with lower stroke severity based on an NIHSS score of 0 to 5.”

Please continue, they say, treating this population despite the virtual absence of evidence. Even more comically, they also conclude this ought not be the last word in this patient population:

“… the very early study termination precludes any definitive conclusions, and additional research may be warranted.”

Although these authors go to great lengths to assure us there was no tomfoolery at work in the sponsor’s decision to terminate the trial, it strains credibility to suggest Genentech would be so willing to abandon potential profit relating to an expanded indication. Such decisions to cut their losses would hardly be warranted if an expectation of potential return were in store.

At the very least, this clearly shows not only diminishing returns, but likely harms relating to the use of alteplase in minor stroke. Given the sparse RCT data in this realm – NINDS, for example, included only 58 cases with a NIHSS below 5, and nearly 3,000 patients were actively excluded from other RCTs – these data still ought to move the needle of equipoise with regard to treating a spectrum of low NIHSS, but potentially disabling, deficits.  It would be entirely defensible not to treat this population while awaiting robust trial evidence in support.

Also: 13% stroke mimics!

“Effect of Alteplase vs Aspirin on Functional Outcome for Patients With Acute Ischemic Stroke and Minor Nondisabling Neurologic Deficits”

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2687354

If It Bleeds, It Can Get TXA?

When trauma bleeds: TXA! When women bleed: TXA! When the nose bleeds: TXA! When your freckles need lightening: TXA!

But, what about inside the brain?

This is TICH-2, an international, randomized, placebo-controlled trial testing tranexamic acid versus placebo for patients with primary intracerebral hemorrhage. The intervention arm received 1g of IV TXA as a bolus, followed by 1g over the subsequent 8 hours. The primary outcome was functional status at day 90 measured – inappropriately so, of course – as shift on the modified Rankin Scale. We’ve critiqued the ordinal shift several times as, effectively, statistically magnifying unimportant differences as a crutch for trials struggling to find a difference using a traditional, dichotomous endpoint.

However, regardless, their efforts are for naught: their primary endpoint still failed to reach statistical significance. Across five years and 2,325 randomized participants, nearly all patient-oriented outcomes showed no difference: 29% of TXA patients were mRS ≥2 at 90 days, compared with 29% of placebo. The numbers of deaths by day 90 were virtually identical, as were measures of quality of life, functional status, and days at home. Adjusted analyses and various subgroups generated odds ratios whose confidence intervals almost broke free of unity, but not quite.

The major quirk – over two-thirds of the trial was randomized greater than 3 hours from onset. The trauma literature focuses on early anti-fibrinolytic treatment, and it is reasonable to suggest the delay in treatment was too great to demonstrate a benefit. Then, even though no patient-oriented benefit was observed, hematoma expansion was attenuated in the TXA cohort. This is not the first time an ICH trial has seen benefits with regard to hematoma expansion absent patient-oriented outcome improvements, but it still seems a valid surrogate for, at least, a small effect size for which this trial may (or not) be underpowered to detect.

My takeaway is this trial hasn’t done much to move the needle with regard to evaluating TXA in ICH. It does show, at least, as administered in this trial, it is unlikely to have substantial benefit. However, TXA is inexpensive and seems to demonstrate a reasonable margin of safety. It is still reasonable to consider its use in as timely a fashion as possible, with the expectation the true NNT may be ~50 to 200, while awaiting further data from other trials currently underway.

“Tranexamic acid for hyperacute primary IntraCerebral Haemorrhage (TICH-2): an international randomised, placebo-controlled, phase 3 superiority trial”
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(18)31033-X/fulltext

Wake Up and Smell the tPA

What happens when you wake up and you’re paralyzed from a stroke? Well, usually nothing. “Unknown time of onset” takes you – for better or worse – out of the game for alteplase, but not necessarily for endovascular therapy should a large-vessel occlusion be identified. Those large vessel occlusions, in the setting of a favorable CT perfusion profile, seem to benefit from endovascular therapy.

But, getting back to the “wake up stroke” – these have had our neurologists gnashing their teeth for some time. They have hypothesized many of these strokes have occurred just before waking and might otherwise be eligible for treatment. Absent reliable presenting information regarding the time of onset, these authors look to MRI – using presence of DWI lesion without corresponding FLAIR signal as a surrogate for tissue viability/stroke recency. Exclusion criteria in addition to the usual alteplase culprits were extremes of age, premorbid functional disability, NIHSS >25, thrombectomy candidates, and those with infarct volumes greater than 1/3rd the MCA territory. The primary outcome was 0 or 1 on the mRS at 90 days, like most trials.

These authors in this multicenter, placebo-controlled planned to enroll 800 patients, but ran out of money after five years and 503 patients. To get to these 503, the authors needed to screen 1362 potential strokes. These 859 exclusions were for various reasons, but over half were because the FLAIR matched the DWI lesion – indicated a completed infarct. Another 137 had negative DWI – i.e., not stroke – and various others had hemorrhage, failed to meet criteria for infarct size, or a scattering of other exclusions. Even despite these exclusions, another 79 snuck through as protocol violations, including 48 who should have been excluded based on imaging criteria.

Now, the meat: About 95% of those included were of the “wake up” variety, nearly all from overnight sleep. Baseline clinical features were generally well-matched. Median NIHSS was 6 in each group, although median lesion volume on DWI was 2.0 mL in the alteplase cohort as compared to 2.5 with placebo. At 90 days, 53.3% of the alteplase cohort achieved an mRS of 0-1 as compared with 41.8% with placebo. Bleeding complications, as typical, favored the placebo cohort – with absolute advantages ranging from 1.6% to 3.6%, depending on the definition of hemorrhage used. Death at 90 days also favored placebo at 1.2% versus 4.1%.

It is difficult to know what to do with these data unless your system is specifically equipped to replicate the conditions of this trial with rapid MRI. Even then, there are some oddities and specific warnings to unpack. If adhering to this protocol, the majority of patients screened will not be eligible for treatment. The number of patients who had completed their infarction was similar to those who had DWI/FLAIR mismatch, and another third had other imaging or clinical findings excluding them from treatment. Incorporating MRI into workflow may not yet represent a high-value approach.

Then, the authors performed a pre-specified subgroup analysis stratifying based on NIHSS – and the 109 analyzed patients with a NIHSS >10 did terrible. Only 13.5% of those in the tPA cohort and 12.3% of those receiving placebo achieved mRS 0 or 1. Unpacking these stratifications further, the authors provide us a whole host of breakdowns:

Generally, not too much should be read into these secondary outcomes, but they are useful for generating equipoise for other investigations.  That said, these data should be at least a useful cautionary tale regarding the value of tPA in the setting of mild, but disabling stroke – as these 175 patients represent at least six times more patients than from NINDS, and are of higher quality evidence than any of the Get With the Guidelines publications trying to build the case for tPA in mild stroke.

One takeaway that should definitely not be generated from this is: “well, if there’s an absolute increase in good outcome of 12% on those screened with MRI, then treating all ‘wake up’ patients after screening with just CT could generate about a 6% absolute benefit, and that should be offered to patients.”  Unfortunately, I suspect we will hear such calls – probably based on parsing out the low NIHSS patients in the subgroups above, and trying to toss out the ~30% with a large-vessel occlusion identified on MRA as patients who should be triaged to endovascular.  Again, trying to pick and choose the secondary outcomes that suit your narrative is fraught with peril, and the fact remains such a treatment strategy is also likely to generate harms greater than those seen in this trial.  These data ought to have a very narrow application – but shareholders and executives don’t realized dividends when alteplase isn’t flying off the shelves for expanded indications.

“MRI-Guided Thrombolysis for Stroke with Unknown Time of Onset”
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa1804355