This little observational study, part of a larger troponin-centric evaluation, looked at the predictive value of clinician gestalt for acute coronary syndrome. This has been evaluated before – including by this same group – but this cohort is three times the size of their prior effort.
Of the 1,391 patient encounters included, 207 had an acute MI, and another 33 died or underwent coronary revascularization within 30 days. Only 60 patients actually fell into the category of “definitely not ACS”, and 3 of those turned out to actually have an AMI. However, adding an ECG and a troponin to the initial gestalt was ultimately 100% sensitive for acute MI said “definitely not” cohort.
The other end of the spectrum – the “definitely ACS” side – was similar, with gestalt requiring supplementation by troponin and ECG testing to confirm.
One of the authors’ takeaways: a label of “definitely not” isn’t safe enough to forgo troponin testing. However, this comes with a big caveat: the enrolled patient cohort was specifically chosen for the main study because the treating clinician judged they required evaluation for ACS. Thus, effectively by definition, “definitely not” is incompatible with the study population.
You should not use this study to justify evaluation with additional or definitive testing in those who are truly “definitely not” ACS – the cohort here was enriched by 60 year old patients with hypertension, hyperlipidemia, prior MIs, smokers, and diabetes, and it would truly be the exception for one of these patients to “definitely not” have ACS. The 28 year-old for whom you think “definitely not” can still be evaluated as you feel appropriate.
“Can emergency physician gestalt “rule in” or “rule out” acute coronary syndrome: validation in a multi-center prospective diagnostic cohort study”
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31338902